Post by Ron on Aug 27, 2009 5:33:57 GMT -6
I keep reading comments about landowners closing their lands to hunting and people saying they are not deer hunting this year. I wonder how this will effect the harvest? I usually make a prediction as to what the harvest will be. Below is my best guess. I would like to hear what others think will be the end result of the 2009 deer harvest. If you only want to guess the 9 day gun season, that's fine. I did the other seasons as well. I estimated the
Oct. T-zone
9 Day gun hunt
ML hunt
Dec. T-zone.
CWD Holiday Hunt
Bow season
I did not include the Youth hunt, Chippewa harvest or crop damage seasons because there some pretty small numbers. Last year's total harvest (from all the seasons listed above) was 457,319 deer. That came from 352,601 gun/ML and 99,284 bow and 5,434 Holiday hunt.
If last year's total harvest was 457,319, then I would guess that this total year's harvest will be 352,136 (23% decline statewide from last year)
Last year's 9 day gun harvest was 285,243. I think this year' will be 225,300 ( -21% from last year)
Last year's Bow harvest was 99,824. I think this year' will be 84,200 ( -15% from last year)
Last year's Oct. T zone harvest was 35,065. I think this year' will be 14,000 ( - 60% from last years)
Last year's ML harvest was 8,522. I think this year's will be 6,000 ( -29% from last year)
Last year's Dec. T zone harvest was 12,878. I think this year' will be 10,700 ( -17% from last year)
Last year's holiday hunt harvest was 5,434. I think this year' will be 5,600 ( a slight increase from last year)
The remaining deer will come from the youth hunt, Chippewa harvest and crop damage tags.
What gave me the most trouble was trying to apply a number for all the antlerless deer that were multi-registered in the EAB units and those on watch for EAB during last year's seasons. That won't take place this year so the antlerless harvest will be an actual recording of what was taken. I just don't know how much it inflated last years numbers.
Lets hear your estimate.
Oct. T-zone
9 Day gun hunt
ML hunt
Dec. T-zone.
CWD Holiday Hunt
Bow season
I did not include the Youth hunt, Chippewa harvest or crop damage seasons because there some pretty small numbers. Last year's total harvest (from all the seasons listed above) was 457,319 deer. That came from 352,601 gun/ML and 99,284 bow and 5,434 Holiday hunt.
If last year's total harvest was 457,319, then I would guess that this total year's harvest will be 352,136 (23% decline statewide from last year)
Last year's 9 day gun harvest was 285,243. I think this year' will be 225,300 ( -21% from last year)
Last year's Bow harvest was 99,824. I think this year' will be 84,200 ( -15% from last year)
Last year's Oct. T zone harvest was 35,065. I think this year' will be 14,000 ( - 60% from last years)
Last year's ML harvest was 8,522. I think this year's will be 6,000 ( -29% from last year)
Last year's Dec. T zone harvest was 12,878. I think this year' will be 10,700 ( -17% from last year)
Last year's holiday hunt harvest was 5,434. I think this year' will be 5,600 ( a slight increase from last year)
The remaining deer will come from the youth hunt, Chippewa harvest and crop damage tags.
What gave me the most trouble was trying to apply a number for all the antlerless deer that were multi-registered in the EAB units and those on watch for EAB during last year's seasons. That won't take place this year so the antlerless harvest will be an actual recording of what was taken. I just don't know how much it inflated last years numbers.
Lets hear your estimate.